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Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U. Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Ecuador - Liga Pro logo Ecuador flag Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 11 Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt· Guayaquil Sunday, April 26, 2026 20:30
Guayaquil City logo Guayaquil City PPG 1.50
1-0 HIT CS2
Tecnico U. logo Tecnico U. PPG 1.40
Draw· +0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Guayaquil City face Tecnico U. in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guayaquil City a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Tecnico U. 22%, so Guayaquil City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Guayaquil City and 0.5 for Tecnico U. (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guayaquil City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.40 for Tecnico U.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.8%
Odds: 2.14 EV: +0.1%
Draw 31.4%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +0.5%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -24.8%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: 2.45 -12.0%
Over 3.5 8.0% Odds: 4.75 -62.0%
BTTS 39.6% Odds: 2.05 -18.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Guayaquil City
1.13
Tecnico U.
0.48

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Draw(+0.5%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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