Today / CA Guemes vs A. Atlanta

CA Guemes vs A. Atlanta Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

CA Guemes

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

A. Atlanta

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-16.2%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.8%1-111.0%1-24.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-15.7%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-13.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 50.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.0% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CA Guemes1.8

A. Atlanta0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CA GUEMES · PPG 1.00

A. ATLANTA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

CA Guemes (H) 48.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

A. Atlanta (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CA Guemes face A. Atlanta on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CA Guemes a 49% chance, the draw 29% and A. Atlanta 23%, so CA Guemes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for CA Guemes and 0.9 for A. Atlanta (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CA Guemes are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for A. Atlanta. This match finished 0-2.

CA Guemes vs A. Atlanta Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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