Today / Berkane vs Dcheira

Berkane vs Dcheira Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Berkane

PPG 2.14 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Dcheira

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-12.9%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.9%1-17.0%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.5%2-18.5%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-16.9%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.7%4+-17.4%4+-22.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.3% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 9.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 35.7% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.5%

H 67% / xG 2.4-0.6 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.5%

#2 3–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 11.9%

#4 2–1✓ 8.5%

#5 1–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Berkane2.4

Dcheira0.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 35.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BERKANE · PPG 2.14

DCHEIRA · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.14) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Berkane (H) 67.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dcheira (A) 9.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Berkane face Dcheira on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Berkane a 67% chance, the draw 23% and Dcheira 10%, so Berkane are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Berkane and 0.6 for Dcheira (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Berkane are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.57 for Dcheira. This match finished 2-1.

Berkane vs Dcheira Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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