Cerro Largo vs Racing CM Prediction & Tips

Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 13 Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla· Melo Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:30

Cerro Largo PPG 1.40

0-1 HIT CS2

Racing CM PPG 2.60

Over2.5· +17.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.1%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +6.8%

Draw 31.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -2.7%

Away 40.5%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -19.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.35 +17.5%

Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 4.50 +3.5%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 2.00 +5.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cerro Largo

0.95

Racing CM

1.49

Model SuggestionBTTS +5.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +5.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+17.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home AVERAGE (1.40)