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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 34 Estadio Municipal da Malata· Ferrol Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:30
Racing Ferrol logo Racing Ferrol PPG 1.63
2-2 MISS
Real Aviles logo Real Aviles PPG 1.31
Over3.5· +54.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.4%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -15.1%
Draw 28.3%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -9.4%
Away 25.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 2.05 +20.9%
Over 3.5 42.3% Odds: 3.65 +54.4%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.83 +7.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Racing Ferrol
2.08
Real Aviles
1.23

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +20.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+54.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

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