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Talleres R. E. vs Real Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 18:30

Talleres R. E.

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Real Pilar

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-111.9%0-23.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.5%1-112.4%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.1%2-16.4%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.2%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 8.9% — — —

BTTS 41.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob41.1%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 18.8%

#2 1–0 19.5%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 0–1 11.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Talleres R. E.1.0

Real Pilar0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 8.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.80

REAL PILAR · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...

48%

CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (2.60) strong but model favors Home (P=41.5%)

Win probability 1X2

Talleres R. E. (H) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Pilar (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Talleres R. E. face Real Pilar in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Talleres R. E. a 42% chance, the draw 32% and Real Pilar 26%, so Talleres R. E. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Talleres R. E. and 0.6 for Real Pilar (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Talleres R. E. are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.60 for Real Pilar. This match finished 0-0.

Talleres R. E. vs Real Pilar Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

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