Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / D. Laferrere vs Liniers

D. Laferrere vs Liniers Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 18:30

D. Laferrere logo
D. Laferrere
PPG 1.40 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Liniers logo
Liniers
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-110.5%0-24.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.8%1-112.8%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-17.8%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.2%3-13.2%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 45.0%
Draw 30.2%
Away win 24.7%
Over 2.5 38.0%
Over 3.5 14.0%
BTTS 49.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 66%
Score Hit 63%
ROI 21.9%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%
#2 1–0 16.8%
#3 1–1 12.8%
#4 2–0 10.3%
#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Laferrere1.2
Liniers0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 14.0%

Form & verdict PPG

D. LAFERRERE · PPG 1.40

LINIERS · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

D. Laferrere (H) 45.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Liniers (A) 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Laferrere face Liniers in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Laferrere a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Liniers 25%, so D. Laferrere are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for D. Laferrere and 0.8 for Liniers (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Laferrere are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Liniers. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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