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Vojvodina vs Z. Pancevo Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 18:00

Vojvodina

PPG 2.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Z. Pancevo

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a clear edge.

+12.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-15.4%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.6%1-110.4%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.9%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.4%3-16.3%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-14.7%4+-22.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 61.7% 1.62 -23.2%

Draw 28.0% 27.4% 3.65 +2.2%

Away win 24.6% 20.0% 5.00 +23.0%

Over 2.5 59.0% 52.6% 1.90 +12.1%

Over 3.5 32.8% 31.3% 3.20 +5.0%

BTTS 57.8% 55.6% 1.80 +4.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob57.8%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0✓ 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vojvodina1.9

Z. Pancevo1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VOJVODINA · PPG 2.13

Z. PANCEVO · PPG 1.19

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=47.4%

Win probability 1X2

Vojvodina (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -23.2%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +2.2%

Z. Pancevo (A) 24.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vojvodina face Z. Pancevo in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vojvodina a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Z. Pancevo 25%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Vojvodina and 1.0 for Z. Pancevo (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vojvodina are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.19 for Z. Pancevo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Vojvodina vs Z. Pancevo Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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