Macara vs Libertad Prediction & Tips

Ecuador - Liga Pro Regular Season - 11 Estadio Bellavista· Ambato Sunday, April 26, 2026 18:00

Macara PPG 1.60

3-0 HIT CS5

Libertad PPG 0.40

Home· +5.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 52.7%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +5.4%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -4.9%

Away 17.1%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -33.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.25 -14.5%

Over 3.5 13.2% Odds: 4.20 -44.6%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 1.93 -23.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✔

Macara

1.48

Libertad

0.46

Model SuggestionHome +5.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=52.7%