Benfica B vs Maritimo Prediction & Tips

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Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 31 Benfica Campus· Seixal Sunday, April 26, 2026 17:00

Benfica B PPG 1.67

1-2 HIT CS5

Maritimo PPG 2.13

Draw· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -7.4%

Draw 32.3%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +5.0%

Away 39.2%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -17.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.5% Odds: 1.93 -8.3%

Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: 3.35 -35.0%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Benfica B

0.95

Maritimo

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.13)