Today / Rustavi vs Iberia

Rustavi vs Iberia Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Rustavi

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Iberia

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.5%0-115.6%0-26.0%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.8%1-112.9%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-06.9%2-15.3%2-22.0%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.9%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% — — —

Draw 33.2% — — —

Away win 30.0% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 7.7% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob39.6%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.8 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.5%

#2 1–0 16.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 15.6%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rustavi0.8

Iberia0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 7.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RUSTAVI · PPG 2.00

IBERIA · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Rustavi (H) 36.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iberia (A) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rustavi face Iberia on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rustavi a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Iberia 30%, so Rustavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Rustavi and 0.8 for Iberia (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rustavi are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Iberia. This match finished 2-1.

Rustavi vs Iberia Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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