Today / Red Star vs Partizan

Red Star vs Partizan Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Red Star

PPG 2.69 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Partizan

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.69), Away GOOD (1.88) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.0%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.3%1-13.5%1-21.8%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.0%2-16.4%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.3%3-17.7%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-017.2%4+-118.2%4+-29.6%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.1% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 9.3% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 69.0% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.5%

H 70% / xG 3.6-1.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.7%

#2 3–0✓ 7.3%

#3 4–1 7.1%

#4 4–0 6.7%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Red Star3.6

Partizan1.1

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RED STAR · PPG 2.69

PARTIZAN · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.69), Away GOOD (1.88) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Red Star (H) 70.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Partizan (A) 9.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Red Star face Partizan on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Red Star a 70% chance, the draw 21% and Partizan 9%, so Red Star are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Red Star and 1.1 for Partizan (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Red Star are averaging 2.69 points per game versus 1.88 for Partizan. This match finished 3-0.

Red Star vs Partizan Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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