Bolnisi face Aragvi Dusheti on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bolnisi a 72% chance, the draw 21% and Aragvi Dusheti 7%, so Bolnisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Bolnisi and 0.5 for Aragvi Dusheti (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bolnisi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Aragvi Dusheti. This match finished 1-1.
Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus