Polessya vs Obolon Prediction & Tips

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Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 25 Tsentralnyi Stadion· Zhytomyr Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:00

Polessya PPG 1.58

3-1 MISS

Obolon PPG 1.17

Away· +66.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.3%

Odds: 1.20 EV: -19.2%

Draw 22.9%

Odds: 4.75 EV: +8.8%

Away 9.8%

Odds: 17.00 EV: +66.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.2% Odds: 1.95 -0.2%

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.40 -5.8%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 2.90 +14.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Polessya

2.25

Obolon

0.41

Model SuggestionHome -19.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+66.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)