Today / Presov vs Trencin

Presov vs Trencin Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Presov

PPG 1.07 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Trencin

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-111.2%0-25.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.5%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-17.9%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.1%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 17.5% — — —

BTTS 51.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.3%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 0–1✓ 11.2%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Presov1.2

Trencin1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PRESOV · PPG 1.07

TRENCIN · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Presov (H) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trencin (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Presov face Trencin on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Presov a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Trencin 30%, so Presov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Presov and 1.0 for Trencin (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Presov are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.36 for Trencin. This match finished 0-1.

Presov vs Trencin Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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