Today / Videoton FC vs Vasas

Videoton FC vs Vasas Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Videoton FC

PPG 1.77 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Vasas

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-115.5%0-29.5%0-33.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.5%2-15.5%2-23.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.3%3-11.5%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.5% — — —

Draw 32.3% — — —

Away win 39.2% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 15.5% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.5%

A 39% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 0–2✓ 9.5%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Videoton FC0.8

Vasas1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDEOTON FC · PPG 1.77

VASAS · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.77) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.08)

Win probability 1X2

Videoton FC (H) 28.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vasas (A) 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Videoton FC face Vasas on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Videoton FC a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Vasas 39%, so Vasas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Videoton FC and 1.2 for Vasas (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Videoton FC are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 2.08 for Vasas. This match finished 0-2.

Videoton FC vs Vasas Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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