Ferencvaros vs Paks Prediction & Tips

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Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 31 Groupama Arena· Budapest Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:00

Ferencvaros PPG 1.64

2-0 HIT CS4

Paks PPG 1.47

Away· +69.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.1%

Odds: 1.42 EV: -36.0%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 4.45 EV: +22.8%

Away 27.3%

Odds: 6.20 EV: +69.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.40 -17.4%

Over 3.5 39.9% Odds: 2.00 -20.2%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✔

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvaros

1.83

Paks

1.38

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -17.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -17.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+69.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away AVERAGE (1.47)