Shturmi vs Gareji Sagarejo Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

Shturmi face Gareji Sagarejo in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shturmi a 37% chance, the draw 41% and Gareji Sagarejo 22%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Shturmi and 0.4 for Gareji Sagarejo (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shturmi are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Gareji Sagarejo. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +25.6%. This match finished 1-2.