Southampton W vs Charlton W Prediction— England - Women's Championship

England - Women's Championship Regular Season - 21 St. Mary's Stadium· Southampton Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:00

Southampton W PPG 1.40

2-2 MISS

Charlton W PPG 1.80

Home· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Southampton W face Charlton W in England - Women's Championship on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Southampton W a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Charlton W 30%, so Southampton W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Southampton W and 1.2 for Charlton W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Southampton W are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.80 for Charlton W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.7%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +7.7%

Draw 32.7%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +1.4%

Away 29.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -33.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 2.05 +2.9%

Over 3.5 25.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton W

1.33

Charlton W

1.24

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 85%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 31%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.40) vs Away GOOD (1.80)