Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga Championship Group - 33 Gradski Stadion· Novi Pazar Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:30

Novi Pazar PPG 1.69

2-2 MISS

Cukaricki PPG 0.94

Over3.5· +19.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Novi Pazar face Cukaricki in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Novi Pazar a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Cukaricki 28%, so Novi Pazar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Novi Pazar and 1.3 for Cukaricki (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Novi Pazar are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 0.94 for Cukaricki. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 2.36 EV: +2.7%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -4.9%

Away 28.1%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -23.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 2.00 +18.0%

Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 3.65 +19.0%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.77 +3.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Novi Pazar

1.63

Cukaricki

1.25

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +18.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+19.0%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away POOR (0.94)