Today / T. Odzaci vs FAP Priboj

T. Odzaci vs FAP Priboj Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

T. Odzaci

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

FAP Priboj

PPG 0.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-13.5%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.1%1-18.1%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.8%2-19.5%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.2%3-17.4%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-17.5%4+-23.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.2% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 16.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 38.4% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 59% / xG 2.3-0.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.1%

#4 3–0 9.2%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

T. Odzaci2.3

FAP Priboj0.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

T. ODZACI · PPG 1.00

FAP PRIBOJ · PPG 0.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.63)

Win probability 1X2

T. Odzaci (H) 59.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FAP Priboj (A) 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

T. Odzaci face FAP Priboj on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Odzaci a 59% chance, the draw 24% and FAP Priboj 16%, so T. Odzaci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for T. Odzaci and 0.8 for FAP Priboj (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Odzaci are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.63 for FAP Priboj. This match finished 3-3.

T. Odzaci vs FAP Priboj Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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