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Smederevo vs Usce Novi B. Prediction

Unknown League Sunday, April 26, 2026
Smederevo PPG 1.63
1-1 HIT CS4
Usce Novi B. PPG 0.38
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Smederevo face Usce Novi B. on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Smederevo a 67% chance, the draw 23% and Usce Novi B. 10%, so Smederevo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Smederevo and 0.5 for Usce Novi B. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Smederevo are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.38 for Usce Novi B.. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 22.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 9.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: —
BTTS 48.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Smederevo
2.22
Usce Novi B.
0.47

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.63), Away POOR (0.38) - Strong consensus

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