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Macedonia - First League Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00 
Vardar PPG 2.50 
Tikves PPG 1.54
Macedonia - First League Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00 Vardar PPG 2.507-0 MISS
Tikves PPG 1.54Away· +209.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.60 -5.6%
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: — —
BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Vardar 2.23
Tikves 0.91
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -5.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 25 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -30.6%
Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=56.2%