Today / Arezzo W vs Lumezzane W

Arezzo W vs Lumezzane W Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Arezzo W

PPG 1.27 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Lumezzane W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-114.5%0-213.6%0-38.5%0-4+6.1%1 1-05.3%1-19.9%1-29.3%1-35.8%1-4+4.2%2 2-01.8%2-13.4%2-23.2%2-32.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.4% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 56.8% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob49.5%

A 57% / xG 0.7-1.9 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 13.6%

#2 0–1 14.5%

#3 1–1 9.9%

#4 1–2 9.3%

#5 0–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arezzo W0.7

Lumezzane W1.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AREZZO W · PPG 1.27

LUMEZZANE W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Arezzo W (H) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lumezzane W (A) 56.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Arezzo W face Lumezzane W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arezzo W a 14% chance, the draw 29% and Lumezzane W 57%, so Lumezzane W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Arezzo W and 1.9 for Lumezzane W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arezzo W are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 2.00 for Lumezzane W. This match finished 0-2.

Arezzo W vs Lumezzane W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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