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SonderjyskE vs Brondby IF Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Championship Group · Matchday 29 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

SonderjyskE

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWL

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Brondby IF

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-113.8%0-210.0%0-34.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.9%2-15.6%2-24.1%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.2%3-11.7%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% 29.9% 3.35 -6.5%

Draw 31.7% 27.4% 3.65 +15.7%

Away win 40.3% 50.0% 2.00 -19.4%

Over 2.5 50.0% 60.6% 1.65 -17.5%

Over 3.5 21.2% 38.5% 2.60 -44.9%

BTTS 52.6% 65.4% 1.53 -19.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.6%

A 40% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 13.8%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SonderjyskE0.9

Brondby IF1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SONDERJYSKE · PPG 1.71

BRONDBY IF · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

SonderjyskE (H) 27.9%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.5%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +15.7%

Brondby IF (A) 40.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

SonderjyskE face Brondby IF in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SonderjyskE a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Brondby IF 40%, so Brondby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for SonderjyskE and 1.4 for Brondby IF (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SonderjyskE are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.43 for Brondby IF. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +15.7%. This match finished 3-0.

SonderjyskE vs Brondby IF Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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