SonderjyskE vs Brondby IF Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Denmark - Superliga Championship Group - 29 Haderslev Football Stadium· Haderslev Sunday, April 26, 2026 14:00

SonderjyskE PPG 1.71

3-0 MISS

Brondby IF PPG 1.43

Draw· +15.7% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

SonderjyskE face Brondby IF in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SonderjyskE a 28% chance, the draw 32% and Brondby IF 40%, so Brondby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for SonderjyskE and 1.4 for Brondby IF (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SonderjyskE are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.43 for Brondby IF. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +15.7%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -6.5%

Draw 31.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +15.7%

Away 40.3%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -19.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.65 -17.5%

Over 3.5 21.2% Odds: 2.60 -44.9%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.53 -19.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

SonderjyskE

0.91

Brondby IF

1.45

Model SuggestionBTTS -19.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -19.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+15.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 60% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away AVERAGE (1.43)