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Bylis vs Teuta Durres Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 14:00

Bylis

PPG 1.44 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Teuta Durres

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-110.5%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.4%1-112.7%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.5%2-17.7%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% 44.4% 2.25 +1.7%

Draw 30.3% 32.3% 3.10 -6.1%

Away win 24.6% 35.1% 2.85 -29.9%

Over 2.5 38.0% 48.8% 2.05 -22.1%

Over 3.5 13.2% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.5%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–0 17.4%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 2–0✓ 10.5%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bylis1.2

Teuta Durres0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BYLIS · PPG 1.44

TEUTA DURRES · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Bylis (H) 45.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +1.7%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.1%

Teuta Durres (A) 24.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -29.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bylis face Teuta Durres in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bylis a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Teuta Durres 25%, so Bylis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bylis and 0.7 for Teuta Durres (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bylis are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.13 for Teuta Durres. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.7%. This match finished 2-0.

Bylis vs Teuta Durres Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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