Today / SC St. Tonis vs Juchen-G.
SC St. Tonis vs Juchen-G. Prediction
Sunday, April 26, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 45% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%
Form & verdict
SC ST. TONIS · PPG 1.64
JUCHEN-G. · PPG 0.77
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=45.1%
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
SC St. Tonis face Juchen-G. on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC St. Tonis a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Juchen-G. 27%, so SC St. Tonis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for SC St. Tonis and 1.6 for Juchen-G. (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC St. Tonis are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.77 for Juchen-G.. This match finished 0-0.