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Gomora United vs Hungry Lions Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Gomora United

PPG 1.58 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hungry Lions

PPG 1.46 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-111.7%0-25.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.4%1-113.4%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.7%2-17.7%2-23.8%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.9%3-12.9%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 29.5% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 17.0% — — —

BTTS 50.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob50.2%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gomora United1.1

Hungry Lions1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GOMORA UNITED · PPG 1.58

HUNGRY LIONS · PPG 1.46

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away AVERAGE (1.46)

Win probability 1X2

Gomora United (H) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hungry Lions (A) 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gomora United face Hungry Lions in South-Africa - 1st Division on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gomora United a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Hungry Lions 30%, so Gomora United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gomora United and 1.0 for Hungry Lions (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gomora United are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.46 for Hungry Lions. This match finished 2-1.

Gomora United vs Hungry Lions Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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