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Jedinstvo vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 18:30

Jedinstvo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Bokelj

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-111.4%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.3%1-113.2%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.7%2-23.3%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-13.0%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 44.4% 2.25 -12.5%

Draw 33.6% 33.3% 3.00 +0.8%

Away win 27.5% 33.3% 3.00 -17.5%

Over 2.5 44.4% 43.5% 2.30 +2.1%

Over 3.5 14.8% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

H 39% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 0–1 11.4%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo1.2

Bokelj0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 14.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO · PPG 1.00

BOKELJ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo (H) 38.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -12.5%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +0.8%

Bokelj (A) 27.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo face Bokelj in Montenegro - First League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Bokelj 28%, so Jedinstvo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Jedinstvo and 0.9 for Bokelj (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Bokelj. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Jedinstvo vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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