Today / Vicenza W vs Cesena W

Vicenza W vs Cesena W Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Vicenza W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Cesena W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-17.9%0-29.7%0-37.9%0-4+8.6%1 1-03.2%1-17.8%1-29.5%1-37.8%1-4+8.5%2 2-01.6%2-13.8%2-24.7%2-33.8%2-4+4.2%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.5%3-31.3%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.5% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 61.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob58.5%

A 61% / xG 1.0-2.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.7%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.8%

#4 0–3 7.9%

#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vicenza W1.0

Cesena W2.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VICENZA W · PPG 1.00

CESENA W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Vicenza W (H) 14.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cesena W (A) 61.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vicenza W face Cesena W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vicenza W a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Cesena W 61%, so Cesena W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Vicenza W and 2.4 for Cesena W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vicenza W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Cesena W. This match finished 1-4.

Vicenza W vs Cesena W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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