Today / Frosinone W vs San Marino A. W
Frosinone W vs San Marino A. W Prediction
Sunday, April 26, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 30% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%
Form & verdict
FROSINONE W · PPG 1.09
SAN MARINO A. W · PPG 1.45
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.09) vs Away AVERAGE (1.45)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Frosinone W face San Marino A. W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frosinone W a 38% chance, the draw 30% and San Marino A. W 33%, so Frosinone W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Frosinone W and 1.5 for San Marino A. W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frosinone W are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.45 for San Marino A. W. This match finished 2-3.