Today / Freedom W vs Brescia W
Freedom W vs Brescia W Prediction
Sunday, April 26, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 30% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 53.8%
Form & verdict
FREEDOM W · PPG 1.73
BRESCIA W · PPG 1.27
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Freedom W face Brescia W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Freedom W a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Brescia W 33%, so Freedom W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Freedom W and 1.9 for Brescia W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Freedom W are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.27 for Brescia W. This match finished 0-2.