Today / Bologna W vs Venezia W

Bologna W vs Venezia W Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Bologna W

PPG 1.64 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Venezia W

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.1%0-20.6%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.9%1-13.9%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.8%2-16.8%2-23.4%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-17.9%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-017.1%4+-117.1%4+-28.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.0% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 9.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 65.8% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 70% / xG 3.5-1.0 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.0%

#2 3–1 7.9%

#3 4–0 7.0%

#4 4–1 6.9%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bologna W3.5

Venezia W1.0

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 65.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BOLOGNA W · PPG 1.64

VENEZIA W · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.64), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bologna W (H) 70.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Venezia W (A) 9.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bologna W face Venezia W on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bologna W a 70% chance, the draw 21% and Venezia W 10%, so Bologna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Bologna W and 1.0 for Venezia W (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bologna W are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.55 for Venezia W. This match finished 1-2.

Bologna W vs Venezia W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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