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Brondby IF vs SonderjyskE Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Championship Group - 27 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Brondby IF

PPG 1.38 · HOME

6 – 0

FULL TIME

SonderjyskE

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-111.5%0-25.9%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.0%1-113.4%1-26.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.5%2-17.8%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.9%3-13.0%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.8% 51.3% 1.95 -24.3%

Draw 29.2% 27.8% 3.60 +5.1%

Away win 32.1% 28.6% 3.50 +12.3%

Over 2.5 37.4% 61.7% 1.62 -39.4%

Over 3.5 17.8% 39.2% 2.55 -54.6%

BTTS 44.1% 66.7% 1.50 -33.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob44.1%

D 29% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 0–0 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brondby IF1.2

SonderjyskE1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRONDBY IF · PPG 1.38

SONDERJYSKE · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Brondby IF (H) 38.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -24.3%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +5.1%

SonderjyskE (A) 32.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brondby IF face SonderjyskE in Denmark - Superliga on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brondby IF a 39% chance, the draw 29% and SonderjyskE 32%, so Brondby IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Brondby IF and 1.0 for SonderjyskE (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brondby IF are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.08 for SonderjyskE. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.3%. This match finished 6-0.

Brondby IF vs SonderjyskE Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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