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Martina Calcio PPG 2.25 
Heraclea PPG 1.31
Martina Calcio vs Heraclea Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H
Martina Calcio PPG 2.252-1 MISS
Heraclea PPG 1.31 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Martina Calcio face Heraclea in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Martina Calcio a 59% chance, the draw 27% and Heraclea 15%, so Martina Calcio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Martina Calcio and 0.5 for Heraclea (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Martina Calcio are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.31 for Heraclea. This match finished 2-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: — —
BTTS 48.3% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Martina Calcio 1.89
Heraclea 0.47
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 31.4%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=58.7%