Ferrandina vs Nardo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone H

Italy - Serie D - Girone H Group H - 33 Campo Sportivo Ferrandina· Ferrandina Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Ferrandina PPG 1.50

1-0 HIT CS4

Nardo PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferrandina face Nardo in Italy - Serie D - Girone H on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferrandina a 30% chance, the draw 35% and Nardo 35%, so Nardo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Ferrandina and 0.9 for Nardo (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferrandina are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.13 for Nardo. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 34.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 35.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 7.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferrandina

0.63

Nardo

0.92

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)