Valmontone vs S. Ogliastra Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 33 Stadio Del Bianco· Anagni Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Valmontone PPG 1.19

0-1 MISS

S. Ogliastra PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Valmontone face S. Ogliastra in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Valmontone a 42% chance, the draw 29% and S. Ogliastra 29%, so Valmontone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Valmontone and 1.5 for S. Ogliastra (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Valmontone are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.25 for S. Ogliastra. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 29.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 28.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Valmontone

1.78

S. Ogliastra

1.48

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.25)