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Trastevere vs CynthiAlbalonga Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 33 Centro Sportivo Vittorio Bachelet· Roma Sunday, April 26, 2026 15:30
Trastevere logo Trastevere PPG 2.00
3-0 MISS
CynthiAlbalonga logo CynthiAlbalonga PPG 1.13
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trastevere face CynthiAlbalonga in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trastevere a 50% chance, the draw 24% and CynthiAlbalonga 25%, so Trastevere are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Trastevere and 1.4 for CynthiAlbalonga (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trastevere are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.13 for CynthiAlbalonga. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 24.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 25.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 55.2% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 3-1
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Trastevere
2.49
CynthiAlbalonga
1.44

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.3%

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