Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone G / Olbia vs Anzio

Olbia vs Anzio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Group G - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Olbia

PPG 1.13 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Anzio

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.1%0-26.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.3%2-17.7%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.5%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 32.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.1% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

D 32% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.1%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olbia1.2

Anzio1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.1%

Form & verdict PPG

OLBIA · PPG 1.13

ANZIO · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Olbia (H) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Anzio (A) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Olbia face Anzio in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olbia a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Anzio 32%, so Olbia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Olbia and 1.2 for Anzio (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olbia are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.31 for Anzio. This match finished 2-1.

Olbia vs Anzio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone G Predictions