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Ischia vs Montespaccato Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone G

Italy - Serie D - Girone G logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone G Group G - 33 Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Mazzella· Ischia Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00
Ischia logo Ischia PPG 1.25
1-0 MISS
Montespaccato logo Montespaccato PPG 1.00
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ischia face Montespaccato in Italy - Serie D - Girone G on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ischia a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Montespaccato 33%, so Ischia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Ischia and 1.6 for Montespaccato (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ischia are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Montespaccato. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 29.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 33.0%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 39.2% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Ischia
1.55
Montespaccato
1.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 42%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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