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Seravezza PPG 2.44 
Foligno PPG 1.06
Seravezza vs Foligno Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone E
Seravezza PPG 2.440-0 MISS
Foligno PPG 1.06 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Seravezza face Foligno in Italy - Serie D - Girone E on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seravezza a 55% chance, the draw 27% and Foligno 17%, so Seravezza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Seravezza and 0.7 for Foligno (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seravezza are averaging 2.44 points per game versus 1.06 for Foligno. This match finished 0-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 28.5% Odds: — —
BTTS 52.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Seravezza 1.97
Foligno 0.73
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 22 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 59%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.44) vs P(Home)=55.4%