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Legnago Salus vs Portogruaro Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Legnago Salus

PPG 1.19 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Portogruaro

PPG 0.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.19), Away POOR (0.19) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-10.7%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.6%1-12.8%1-20.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-08.7%2-15.3%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.1%3-16.8%3-22.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-028.7%4+-117.5%4+-25.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.6% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 6.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.1% — — —

Over 3.5 64.5% — — —

BTTS 50.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob50.5%

H 74% / xG 3.8-0.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.1%

#2 4–0 10.5%

#3 2–0 8.7%

#4 5–0✓ 8.0%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Legnago Salus3.8

Portogruaro0.6

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.1% · O3.5 PROB 64.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LEGNAGO SALUS · PPG 1.19

PORTOGRUARO · PPG 0.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.19), Away POOR (0.19) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Legnago Salus (H) 73.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Portogruaro (A) 6.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Legnago Salus face Portogruaro in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Legnago Salus a 74% chance, the draw 20% and Portogruaro 7%, so Legnago Salus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Legnago Salus and 0.6 for Portogruaro (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Legnago Salus are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.19 for Portogruaro. This match finished 5-0.

Legnago Salus vs Portogruaro Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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