Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone C / Clodiense vs Adriese

Clodiense vs Adriese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Clodiense

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Adriese

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-12.3%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.3%1-15.6%1-21.1%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.5%2-16.9%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.3%3-15.6%3-21.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-015.7%4+-16.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.4% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 8.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 70% / xG 2.5-0.4 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.5%

#2 3–0 14.3%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 4–0 8.8%

#5 2–1✓ 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Clodiense2.5

Adriese0.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CLODIENSE · PPG 1.75

ADRIESE · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Clodiense (H) 70.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Adriese (A) 8.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Clodiense face Adriese in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Clodiense a 70% chance, the draw 22% and Adriese 8%, so Clodiense are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Clodiense and 0.4 for Adriese (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Clodiense are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Adriese. This match finished 2-1.

Clodiense vs Adriese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone C Predictions