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Calvi Noale vs Campodarsego Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Group C - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Calvi Noale

PPG 1.44 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Campodarsego

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-110.8%0-24.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.4%1-113.1%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-17.9%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.8%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 26.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 15.5% — — —

BTTS 49.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.5%

H 40% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–0✓ 15.4%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Calvi Noale1.2

Campodarsego0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.5%

Form & verdict PPG

CALVI NOALE · PPG 1.44

CAMPODARSEGO · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Calvi Noale (H) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Campodarsego (A) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Calvi Noale face Campodarsego in Italy - Serie D - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Calvi Noale a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Campodarsego 27%, so Calvi Noale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Calvi Noale and 0.9 for Campodarsego (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Calvi Noale are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.25 for Campodarsego. This match finished 1-0.

Calvi Noale vs Campodarsego Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone C

Match Preview & Prediction

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