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Celle Varazze vs Sestri Levante Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone A

Italy - Serie D - Girone A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone A Group A - 33 Campo comunale Olmo-Ferro· Celle Ligure Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00
Celle Varazze logo Celle Varazze PPG 1.50
1-0 MISS
Sestri Levante logo Sestri Levante PPG 2.13
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Celle Varazze face Sestri Levante in Italy - Serie D - Girone A on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celle Varazze a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Sestri Levante 40%, so Sestri Levante are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Celle Varazze and 1.6 for Sestri Levante (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celle Varazze are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.13 for Sestri Levante. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 40.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: —
BTTS 58.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Celle Varazze
1.16
Sestri Levante
1.60

Model Suggestion

BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

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