Today / Lupo-Martini vs Wilhelmshaven

Lupo-Martini vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Lupo-Martini

PPG 0.33 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Wilhelmshaven

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-18.4%0-212.3%0-312.0%0-4+18.1%1 1-01.8%1-15.2%1-27.6%1-37.5%1-4+11.3%2 2-00.6%2-11.6%2-22.4%2-32.3%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 6.0% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 70.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 49.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.9 BTTS prob49.8%

A 71% / xG 0.6-2.9 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 12.3%

#2 0–3 12.0%

#3 0–4 8.8%

#4 1–2 7.6%

#5 0–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lupo-Martini0.6

Wilhelmshaven2.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LUPO-MARTINI · PPG 0.33

WILHELMSHAVEN · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Lupo-Martini (H) 6.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wilhelmshaven (A) 70.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lupo-Martini face Wilhelmshaven on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lupo-Martini a 6% chance, the draw 23% and Wilhelmshaven 71%, so Wilhelmshaven are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Lupo-Martini and 2.9 for Wilhelmshaven (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lupo-Martini are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.70 for Wilhelmshaven. This match finished 0-2.

Lupo-Martini vs Wilhelmshaven Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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