Today / LSK Hansa vs Egestorf L.

LSK Hansa vs Egestorf L. Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

LSK Hansa

PPG 1.82 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Egestorf L.

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-16.6%0-27.7%0-35.9%0-4+6.0%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.5%1-37.3%1-4+7.4%2 2-02.2%2-15.1%2-25.9%2-34.5%2-4+4.5%3 3-00.9%3-12.1%3-22.4%3-31.9%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.5% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 52.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob58.5%

A 52% / xG 1.2-2.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.5%

#2 1–1✓ 8.2%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 7.3%

#5 0–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LSK Hansa1.2

Egestorf L.2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LSK HANSA · PPG 1.82

EGESTORF L. · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.82), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

LSK Hansa (H) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Egestorf L. (A) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LSK Hansa face Egestorf L. on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LSK Hansa a 26% chance, the draw 22% and Egestorf L. 52%, so Egestorf L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for LSK Hansa and 2.3 for Egestorf L. (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LSK Hansa are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.67 for Egestorf L.. This match finished 1-1.

LSK Hansa vs Egestorf L. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions