Today / Heeslinger SC vs Braunschweig B

Heeslinger SC vs Braunschweig B Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Heeslinger SC
PPG 2.00 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Braunschweig B
PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.5%0-21.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-02.3%1-14.3%1-24.1%1-32.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-03.4%2-16.5%2-26.1%2-33.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.4%3-16.4%3-26.0%3-33.8%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-110.0%4+-29.4%4+-35.9%4+-4+4.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.2%
Draw 22.3%
Away win 26.4%
Over 2.5 79.5%
Over 3.5 71.5%
BTTS 65.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.5%

H 51% / xG 3.0-1.9 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 6.5%
#2 3–1 6.4%
#3 2–2 6.1%
#4 3–2 6.0%
#5 1–1 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Heeslinger SC3.0
Braunschweig B1.9

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 71.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HEESLINGER SC · PPG 2.00

BRAUNSCHWEIG B · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.2%

Win probability 1X2

Heeslinger SC (H) 51.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Braunschweig B (A) 26.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Heeslinger SC face Braunschweig B on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heeslinger SC a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Braunschweig B 26%, so Heeslinger SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Heeslinger SC and 1.9 for Braunschweig B (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heeslinger SC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.77 for Braunschweig B. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

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