Today / Hanauer SC vs Weidenhausen

Hanauer SC vs Weidenhausen Prediction

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Hanauer SC

PPG 1.19 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Weidenhausen

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-14.8%0-23.6%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.1%1-19.3%1-27.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.9%3-15.9%3-24.4%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.5%4+-23.4%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% — — —

Draw 27.6% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 45.4% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.5%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 2–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanauer SC1.9

Weidenhausen1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HANAUER SC · PPG 1.19

WEIDENHAUSEN · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Hanauer SC (H) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Weidenhausen (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanauer SC face Weidenhausen on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanauer SC a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Weidenhausen 27%, so Hanauer SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hanauer SC and 1.5 for Weidenhausen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanauer SC are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.40 for Weidenhausen. This match finished 3-2.

Hanauer SC vs Weidenhausen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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