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LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:30

LNZ Cherkasy

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWLW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Metalist 1925

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.9%0-116.2%0-24.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.7%1-111.0%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.7%2-13.8%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.5%3-10.9%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 42.9% 2.33 -19.1%

Draw 39.6% 36.4% 2.75 +8.9%

Away win 25.7% 30.8% 3.25 -16.5%

Over 2.5 24.2% 32.3% 3.10 -25.0%

Over 3.5 3.7% — — —

BTTS 39.6% 42.0% 2.38 -5.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob39.6%

D 40% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.9%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 0–1 16.2%

#4 1–1✓ 11.0%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LNZ Cherkasy0.7

Metalist 19250.6

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.2% · O3.5 PROB 3.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LNZ CHERKASY · PPG 1.92

METALIST 1925 · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

40%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.92), Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

LNZ Cherkasy (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -19.1%

Draw 39.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +8.9%

Metalist 1925 (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

LNZ Cherkasy face Metalist 1925 in Ukraine - Premier League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LNZ Cherkasy a 35% chance, the draw 40% and Metalist 1925 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for LNZ Cherkasy and 0.6 for Metalist 1925 (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LNZ Cherkasy are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.67 for Metalist 1925. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 1-1.

LNZ Cherkasy vs Metalist 1925 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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